Markttrend Poll: Polls indicate a defeat at the upcoming Midterm elections. So we pose the Question will Obama be reelected in two years?

This week our poll focuses on US politics. As defeat at the midterm elections for the Democrats and especially Obama seems inevitable, we shed light on the next presidential election in 2012.

Link to Obama Poll

yes: 54%

no : 46%

What's new on Markttrend prediction markets this week

We will look into the so called “currency war” this week and our poll focuses on US politics.

New Market: US Dollar/Renminbi Yuan 2011 forecast

In the aftermath of the financial crisis many countries struggle to get back on track. After the debt crisis in the Euro-zone and massive doubts about the recovery in the US, the next big threat to global economy is the fear of a currency war. So we think its time to extend our currency prediction portfolio to the Chinese Yuan Renminbi with a new prediction market.

Closed Market: iPad sales prediction

The Apple iPad has literally been flying of the shelf. Our forecast has been 6 Million and more with more than 99% probability for quite a while now. As our prediction range of “6 Million plus” sold units will be reached soon we will close this prediction market on October 17^th.

Markttrend Umfrage zu Stuttgart 21

Sollte die Politik an dem Projekt Stuttgart 21 wie geplant festhalten?

ja:      31%
nein:  69%

Link zur Umfrage 

What's new on Markttrend prediction markets this week

A new market focuses on Microsoft’s browser and we give you more data about our prediction markets.

New Market: Internet Explorer market share 2011

Once there was one browser to rule them all. Nowadays Microsoft is still the dominant force, but seems unable to stop the downward trend of its Internet Explorer browser. We take a look into the future to see what it holds for the IE.

New Feature: market start & end dates

In every market we will now display the start and (if possible) the end date. In the past we often used the newsletter or the news section of our site to announce the finish date of a prediction market. Due to the short timeframe from the announcement to the actual closing users where often caught by surprise. This is why we have decided to display further information about the start and end below the market question in every market.

Neue Markttrend Umfrage zum Umfragehoch der Grünen

Die Hälfte der Umfrageteilnehmer ist der Meinung, die Grünen profitieren vor allem von der Schwäche der anderen Parteien. Die andere Hälfte der Befragten sieht den aktuellen Trend zumindest teilweise in der Parteipolitik begründet.

Umfrage zum Wahltrend der Grünen

Link zum Prognosemarkt Parteienwahl

New features this week:

We introduce another new market this week and we make it easier for you to get rid of your losses.

New Market: Euro/US-Dollar 2011

An ongoing Expansionary monetary policy in the USA, remaining doubts over the debt of many European countries and maybe a US-Chinese trade war. The list of parameters affecting the future value of the worlds leading currencies gets longer by the minute. Time to shine light into the darkness.

New Feature: increased joker

Since we introduced our joker system back in 2008 many users used the daily joker to reduce losses and alter their investment decisions. The value of this joker is now increased from 10 to 30 points. Furthermore the small joker can now reduce your losses by 70 instead of 50 points.

Markttrend Poll: Is 3D cinema really better than 2D cinema?

Most users think that the 3D experience at the cinema is not generally superior to good old 2D movies. 

Link: poll results