Markttrend.com - prediction markets

Donnerstag, 18. August 2011

Nintendo 3DS sales prediction

The Nintendo 3DS will see a strong increase in sales in the upcoming quarters.

Link to 3DS sales predicition market

Montag, 8. August 2011

New prediction markets open on Monday

New Market: Dow Jones Forecast December 2011
Will we see the return of the financial crisis?
New Market : forecast 3DS sales 2012
Can Nintendo repeat its success with the 3DS or will it continue to fall short of the high expectations?

...our new prediction markets will find out.

Mittwoch, 27. April 2011

New prediction marktes started on Markttrend

New Market: NIKKEI August 2011
How fast will Japan recover from the crisis? A new market will find out.
New Market : D AX September 2011
How will the Dax perform in the upcoming months? Will the rising oil price an the Euro-crisis take its toll?

Dienstag, 19. April 2011

Poll Results: Nuclear Power Germany

Will the German government stick to its plan to extend the lifespan of some nuclear power plants?

Link to Poll

Samstag, 26. Februar 2011

Back with oil

New market: oil price forecast July 2011

The oil price surges well above the 100$ mark. The spread between lower WTI and higher Brent prices indicated a weaker Brent outlook. But as the instability in the middle east and north Africa unfolds, the price is ready to rally.

New feature: open markets

Some markets feature stocks that cover the whole range above or below a certain point. In the Dow Jones market for instance there is a >12.400 stock. If an extreme point is met or exceeded it is hard to make an exact prognosis. This is why we have developed open markets which can be expanded without negative impact on the prices of the other stocks in the market. The new oil price market will be the first of this kind.

Donnerstag, 24. Februar 2011

politics poll: German Green party 2011

Will 2011 see the election of the first Green Party prime minister in one of the German federal states?

link to poll

Donnerstag, 25. November 2010

New Markttrend Poll Results

Should the German cities and town districts be allowed to determine their share of the income tax themselves?

yes: 27%
no: 73%

Link to poll

About us

The platform Markttrend.com is an internet-based prediction market. It is based on the idea that the aggregated collective wisdom is more accurate in predicting future events and trends than the predictions of a small number of experts. This will enable the users to better forecast the outcome of elections, the adoption of new technologies and other trends in politics or society. The used mechanism is similar to a stock market. The users will have the opportunity to buy and sell stocks for different events and technologies. The demand raises or reduces the stock price. To make this platform more compelling and easy to use we chose to implement some game-like features. We hope that this will make your trading experience more enjoyable.

Markttrend.com was started by us - two former students of Darmstadt University of Applied Sciences - in the Summer of 2006. Since Summer 2007 we have worked on implementing the platform. The closed alpha version was started in June 2008. Since September 18th. 2009 the platform's beta version is open. From march 2009 until February 2009 Markttrend.com, as a university startup, received the„Exist-Gründerstipendium“ from the German Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology and the EU.

Despite promising piloting projects we have currently chosen not to foster the commercial use of Markt-trend.com for company usage. Nevertheless our publicly free and open demo website will stay online and further advance. This is due to the fact, that nearly 2.000.000 virtual stocks have been traded so far in over 100 open and private prediction markets. Furthermore the astonishing results of past predictions and the potential for future development encouraged us to keep Markttrend.com alive.